Warriors vs. Pelicans Prediction: Past Games, Injury Report, Player Stats, H2H & Best Picks

The Golden State Warriors will face the New Orleans Pelicans on February 24, 2026 at Smoothie King Center. Motivation and roster status could have a big impact in Western Conference matchups. Golden State is still fighting for a play-in or playoff position, while New Orleans is near the bottom of the standings and has struggled with consistency all season. The Warriors entered the game as slim favorites, but injuries and recent poor form have made it a competitive battle.

Golden State is dealing with repeated absences and relies heavily on role players to step up. Despite these challenges, they have remained motivated and recently scored impressive wins against strong opponents. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are showing signs of improvement offensively, but continue to struggle defensively. This could be a close and interesting matchup as both teams have the ability to push the pace and the recent trend is toward higher point totals. Below is a complete preview including the standings, recent form, injury updates, key player stats, head-to-head stats and best betting picks.

Match information

matchGolden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans
dateFebruary 24, 2026
time8pm ET
venueSmoothie King Center, New Orleans
tv setNBC Sports Bay Area, Gulf Coast Sports
spreadWarriors -1 to -1.5
over/under227.5
money lineWarrior – around 120

Current standings and team statistics

teamrecordWin %PPGPoints allowedInternet evaluation
warriors30-2752.6%115.6113.9-1.2
pelicans16-4227.6%114.8120.6-8.2

Golden State has a better overall record and defense, but New Orleans has struggled to stop opponents and ranks among the worst defensive teams.

Recent condition (last 10 games)

teamPast 10 itemsATStendency
warriors4-63-7Inconsistent and dependent on role players
pelicans4-65-4-1Improving competitiveness and offensive power at home

Golden State has shown potential with recent upsets against tough opponents, but concerns remain about their overall consistency. Despite its record, New Orleans has been playing more freely in recent games.

Reporting an injury

teamplayersituation
warriorssteph curryOut – knee
warriorsjimmy butlerOut – Season
warriorsKristaps PorzingisOut – Achilles
warriorsdraymond greenday to day
warriorsDeAnthony Meltonday to day
warriorsal horfordday to day
pelicanstrey murphy iiiOut – Shoulder
pelicanseve missiOut – calf
pelicansMicah PeaveyOut – Toe

Golden State is without several key players, including Curry, which puts even more pressure on the supporting cast.

Season statistics of key players

golden state warriors

playerpointreboundassist
brandin podzemski12.14.83.7
moses moody11.73.31.5
draymond green8.45.75.1
team strengthTop 5 assists

Golden State’s offense currently relies more on ball movement and 3-point shooting than star scoring.


new orleans pelicans

playerpointreboundassist
Zion Williamson21.86.03.6
Sadiq Bey16.75.82.5
Jeremiah Fears13.23.73.1
derrick queen12.37.34.1

The Pelicans will rely heavily on Zion’s scoring ability, interior presence, and contribution from role players.

Direct confrontation (H2H)

categoryresult
Regular meetingWarriors lead 46-13
last meetingWarriors won their last two games
recent resultsWarriors 104-96 (November 2025)
tendencyHistorical Advantage of the Golden State

Golden State has controlled this matchup over the years, including the most recent matchup.

Betting trends

  • Warriors won in the end Two H2H games
  • Pelicans allow 120.6 PPG (bottom defense)
  • Overall score average: 230 points or more
  • The Warriors’ last four games have been completed. That’s all
  • Pelicans game went over 40/58 match up

See also: Most points scored in an NBA game

Best picks for Warriors vs. Pelicans

marketchoose
spreadWarriors -1.5
total227.5 or higher
player propZion Williamson 23.5+ points (lean)
money linewarriors to win

Match prediction

Golden State enters this game with added motivation as they aim to qualify for the postseason. While injuries have weakened the lineup, the Warriors’ experience, ball movement and historic success against New Orleans give them the edge. Golden State will likely be able to find scoring opportunities due to the Pelicans’ weak defense, but Zion’s presence should keep the game competitive.

Expected score:
Warriors 118 – Pelicans 114

This matchup will be determined by motivation and depth. While the Warriors are still playing for the season, the Pelicans are playing without much pressure. A close, high-scoring game is expected, but Golden State’s sense of urgency and experience should help secure the win and cover the small spread.

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