Updated February 21, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
of memphis grizzlies (21-33) face miami heat (30-27) Chip from the Caseya Center in Miami, Florida on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NBA odds are Grizzlies vs. Heat odds NBA experts pick and predict the best bets.
Season series: Heat 1-0 lead
Memphis beat the Utah Jazz 123-114 on Friday, snapping a four-game losing streak and covering the home favorites by 2.5 points with an RBI over (236.5). F Olivier Maxence Prosper scored a team-high 23 points off the bench; lawson loving ring (11, 11 rebounds) and G cam spencer (10, 10 assists) each achieved a double-double off the bench.
Miami has won back-to-back games after dominating the Atlanta Hawks 128-97 on Friday, covering as a 3.5-point home favorite with the under (243.5) batting average. G tyler herro He came off the bench and led all scorers with 24 points, but C. kelware Added a double-double (14, 12 rebounds), which also came off the bench.
The Heat defeated the Grizzlies 146-114 in their first meeting of the season in late October, overcoming a three-point road deficit with over (232.5) hits.
Grizzlies Heat Odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook;access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub For a complete list. The line was last updated at 12:40 PM ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Heat -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Spread protection (ATS): Grizzlies +11.5 (-110) | Heat -11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Grizzlies suffer important injury against Heat
grizzlies
(Not yet submitted — Below is from Friday’s game)
- F Santi Aldama (knee) goes out
- G Kentavious Caldwell Pope (the finger) came out
- F Brandon Clark (calf) out
- G walter clayton jr. (calf) doubtful
- F cedric coward (knee) goes out
- C Zack Eadie (ankle) out
- G Ty Jerome (calf) out
- G ja morant (elbow) is out
- G Scottie Pippen Jr. (toes) out
heat
(Not yet submitted — Below is from Friday’s game)
- G tyler herro (ribs) probably
- F Keshad Johnson (calf) doubtful
- G Norman Powell (back) doubtful
Latest updates: NBA Official Injury Report.
Grizzlies picks and predictions for the Heat
prediction
Heat 127, Grizzlies 114
Passed.
The Heat (-500) have minimal value to beat an injury-riddled Grizzlies team that is 16-11 at home and 9-17 on the road.
Lean Heat -11.5 (-110).
The Heat are 33-23-1 ATS this season, while the Grizzlies are 25-28-1 ATS. Although the Grizzlies have played cohesively recently and played close games before the All-Star break, they have too many injuries to play like this late in a back-to-back.
The Heat have covered in four of their last five games, and three of their last five when entering as favorites. With a nearly full lineup and the return of Herro, they showed a glimpse of what they can do on Friday. It is expected that this dominance will continue at home.
Bet over 235.5 (-110).
The Heat have scored at least 123 points in three of their last four games and at least 115 points in eight of their last 10 games. They have allowed 111 points or more in two of their last three games.
The Grizzlies have hit the over in seven of their last eight games. They have scored 115 points or more in six of their last seven games, but have allowed 122 points or more in six of their last eight games.
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