Tesla stock rises above fourth-quarter profit, Optimus robot on track for year-end production

Tesla (TSLA) reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter profits after the bell Wednesday. The company also said the Optimus robot is on track to begin production at the end of the year.

For the quarter, Tesla reported revenue of $24.9 billion compared to an estimated $25.11 billion, down 2.4% year-over-year. Tesla’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.50, compared to the expected $0.45, and operating income was $1.41 billion, compared to the expected $1.32 billion.

Tesla’s fourth-quarter gross margin beat expectations at 20.1%, compared to estimates of 17.1%.

Tesla shares rose more than 3% in after-hours trading, but have since retreated slightly.

“In North America, we continue to ramp up production of the Tesla Semi and CyberCab (both starting in the first half of 2026) and continue preparations for production of the next-generation Roadster,” the company said in its shareholder materials, adding that it will add six new production lines across all products.

Tesla plans to unveil the Optimus V3 in the first quarter of this year, with production expected to begin “by the end of 2026, with an eventual production capacity of 1 million robots per year planned.”

“It’s time to end the Model

Tesla said it has removed a limited number of safety drivers from customer rides for its robotaxi service in Austin, but did not provide a timeline for when everyone would be removed. Regarding new metropolitan areas, Tesla noted that Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, Miami, Orlando, Tampa, and Las Vegas will be targeted for robotaxi service in the first half of 2026.

Tesla said the number of fully self-driving (FSD) subscribers will double in 2025 and is still “seeking regulatory approval in China and Europe.” Tesla reported having 1.1 million FSD subscribers at the end of 2025.

An unmanned Tesla robotaxi, a ride-hailing service, moves through traffic on Sunday, June 22, 2025, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
An unmanned Tesla robotaxi, a ride-hailing service, moves through traffic on Sunday, June 22, 2025, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay) · Related news organizations

Tesla also announced it will invest $2 billion in preferred stock in xAI, CEO Elon Musk’s AI startup that owns X.com.

Earlier this month, Tesla reported global deliveries of 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter, down 15% from 495,570 vehicles delivered in the same period last year.

Tesla delivered 1.64 million vehicles for the year, which was in line with expectations and was down 8% from 2024. This marked the second consecutive year of decline in the company’s annual sales.

Cheaper vehicles like the standard versions of the Model Y and Model 3 couldn’t cushion some of the biggest headwinds. The loss of the federal EV tax credit in the U.S. at the end of the third quarter, competition for new EVs from traditional car brands, and CEO Elon Musk’s polarizing politics all contributed significantly to Tesla’s sales decline.

It’s no wonder investors are looking to initiatives like Tesla’s FSD, robotaxi service, and Optimus robots as catalysts for future stock gains.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said Tuesday: “The main focus of the call was the rollout of robotaxis across the United States, including the reduction of safety drivers across the fleet, and we believe the market is at a crossroads with Tesla as bulls and bears debate how quickly the robotaxis era will materialize next year.”

Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla and a South African, Canadian and American businessman, speaks at the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 22, 2026. The World Economic Forum will be held in Davos from January 19 to January 23, 2026 (Photo by Fabrice COFFRINI / AFP via Getty Images)
SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 22 (Fabrice Coffrini/AFP via Getty Images) · Fabrice Coffrini (via Getty Images)

Mr. Musk announced last week that Tesla had removed safety drivers from some of its fleet in Austin, Texas, which Mr. Ives called “an important first step in our long-term vision for robotaxis.”

Other big questions revolve around robotaxi deployment in new regions such as Arizona and Nevada, and the eventual size of the fleet. Morgan Stanley predicts there will be 1,000 Tesla robotaxis on the road by the end of the year.

Musk also announced that FSD’s one-time fee will be eliminated in lieu of a subscription plan that currently costs $99 per month. Tesla also removed Autopilot’s lane centering and adaptive cruise control features to increase adoption of FSD.

Musk said earlier this month that he expects Optimus to go on sale next year, and the CEO is known for aggressive product schedules.

Pras Subramanian is Yahoo Finance’s chief automotive reporter. you can follow him × And even more Instagram.

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