Dan Johnson provides previews, predictions and picks for tonight’s college basketball game between the Utah State Aggies and Grand Canyon Antelopes.
The Aggies enter this late period at 23-5, tied for the summit of the Mountain West at 13-4, and have a brutal home mark of 12-1 on the Spectrum. However, the Grand Canyon is not a soft tourist destination. Lopez is 18-10, 11-6 in league play and 3-0 against the top two teams in the conference, defeating Utah State once. Below are my previews, predictions, and picks for tonight’s college basketball game. utah state aggies and grand canyon antelopes.
Now, let’s play like this. I’ll be rolling out these predictions for individual games throughout the season and have plenty of coverage here draftkings network. follow my handle @dansby_edits For more betting play.
The Aggies are averaging 83.6 points per game, shooting 50.6 percent from the floor, 36.7 percent from 3-point range and dishing out 17.8 assists against just 10.9 turnovers. It’s a clean, efficient attack with real ball movement. Although the Grand Canyon has low voltage, it is not flimsy. Lopez is averaging 75.0 points and 36.5 rebounds per game while shooting 75.5 percent from the line. The takeaway here is that the best way for double-digit dogs to stay alive is to keep rebounding, forcing contact, and scoring when jumpers go cold. Utah State can definitely win this game with their offensive power. This number becomes more difficult to cover if the opponent has a live whistle lane and enough glass to keep the possession numbers honest.
Utah has a clean star duo. MJ Collins Jr. is scoring 17.9 points per game on 50.7% shooting, 38.3% from three and 80.5% from the line. Mason Falslev had 16.0 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 2.0 steals while drilling 41.9% from deep, but dropped 25 points with 12 boards in the first meeting. That’s what creating a true top-end shot is all about. Grand Canyon answers with a deeper, more physical wing-forward combination. Jayden Henry is averaging 17.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1.6 steals, and he just had 28 points and 11 rebounds against UNLV after scoring 21 points against San Diego State. Makai Williams had 13.8 points, Nana Owusu-Ane had 9.4 points and 8.7 rebounds, and Efe Demirel shot 62.3 percent from the floor. Utah State has a clean offensive line. The Grand Canyon has a wide body that can absorb punches and prevent tilting the game.
The first encounter is the clearest evidence on the board, pointing straight at the dog. Grand Canyon defeated Utah State 84-74, not letting the outcome deter them. Lopez shot 51% from the floor and held the Aggies to 36%, making 33 free throws, while Utah State made 23 and controlled 95% of the lead time. It’s not the noise. This is proof that Grand Canyon’s preferred script is still alive in this matchup. Utah State won the offensive and rebounding battle that night, but the results were even greater as Lopez still dominated the game with efficiency, foul pressure, and steady control. If the Dogs are already showing signs of that, this matchup could be dragged into a heavy body blowing match for Whistle, making it much more vulnerable to ask the favorite to win by 11 points or more.
GCU vs Utah State University choose, best option
Utah State is 3-2 in its last five games, but has been shaky at the wrong time. The Aggies lost 77-80 at Nevada and suffered their biggest loss of the season at San Diego State, 72-89. Before that, they won 99-75 at home against Memphis and 75-56 against Boise State, so the ceiling is still there. The problem is that the floor has become soft. Grand Canyon’s recent run looks more like a cover team. Lopez is also 3-2 in his last five games, but these wins have some real texture: 80-67 over UNLV, 73-63 at San Diego State and 94-79 at San Jose State. Even with the losses, the margins were close, 65-70 against Wyoming and 64-70 against New Mexico. That’s the exact resume of a resistant dog. Today’s Grand Canyon isn’t just hanging out. This ensures that a good team always performs on every clean stretch.
Grand Canyon +10.5 is optimal and can be played up to +9.5. Utah State can definitely win this game at home. The Aggies are better offensively, with a sharper baseline of shot-making and Spectrum still being creative. avalanche run. However, this spread demands a complete separation engine, and matchups continue to insist on becoming closer. Grand Canyon has already proven they can blow the whistle, with Henry carrying late-season momentum and Lopez having too much rebounding and frontcourt ballast to treat them like soft double-digit dogs. Utah State rediscovers the home version of Memphis and Boise, winning the turnover battle cleanly and turning this into a hot start. But all signs point to a tougher, more physical game with Point staying alive deep in the second half.
Utah 77, Grand Canyon 70.
Best bet: Grand Canyon in Utah +10.5 (-120)
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